Renewable energy prospects for the european union irena. Energy supplies will become more dependent on politically and economically unstable. The analyse the main factors behind price volume evolutions they interactions between countries. In 2030, europe finds itself at the heart of renewables production once again, with growing markets worldwide for the next generation technologies it is producing. Projecting energy market trends until 2030 german energy outlook. Columbia sipa center on global energy policy the role. Every two years, the commission also produces reports on energy prices and costs in europe. Renewables now cover 36% of the power mix in europe, 26% in china and around 18% in the united states, india and japan. A rand europe report analyzes global societal trends to 2030 and their impact on the eu. According to two new reports published by the european wind energy trade body windeurope, wind energy could provide up to 30% of europe s electricity by 2030. Building a resilient europe to face future societal changes. Challenges for europe in the world, 2030 book, 2014. Renewable energy trends in germany bioenergy consult. No energy resource bottlenecks are expected up to the year 2030.
The eu is currently on track to meet its target of reaching, by 2020, a 20 % share of renewable energy in its gross final energy consumption. Eu reference scenario 2016 energy, transport and ghg emissions trends to 2030. Certain trends will follow a pattern of predictable growth. A separate report is available on the history of dated brent crude oil prices since 2007 market observatory for energy and emos. European energy futures 2030 technology and social visions. Designed as a multifaceted project, this book presents an integrated. These trends also benefit residential customers in the medium. Renewable energy action renewable energy directive romania slovakia slovenia small hydro source spain sweden total electricity trends to 2030 twh bh twh of electricity wind capacity wind energy association wind energy capacity wind energy production wind power. Small hydro source spain sweden total electricity trends to 2030 twh bh twh of.
Aug 23, 2019 germanys plan to phase out all 17 of its nuclear power plants and shift to renewable energy by 2022 is the largest infrastructure investment program in europe since world war ii. Global trends to 2030 challenges and choices for europe. The fastest growing demographic will be the elderly, with the population of people over 65 years old at 1 billion by 2030. This publication on european energy and transport trends to 2030. How to triple the impact of energy saving policies in europe. Megatrends that could change the world by 2030 business. Centre for european policy studies brussels, belgium, this groundbreaking study concentrates on a set of critical economic factors that will shape future economic growth at the global level and offers a description of the possible evolution of their. The reports analyse the main factors behind price and volume evolutions on the market and they analyse gas and electricity market interactions between countries.
The eus 2030 climate and energy framework and energy. Energy and climate 2020 targets, an interim target 7. Manufacturing remains significant to europes economy, representing approximately 15% of its gdp, and it might become even more important in the future. This report describes three possible scenarios for wind energy capacity installations in 2030 based on windeuropes analysis of the potential conditions determining wind energy deployment post2020. In our thematic report eastern partnership 2030 trends, we identify and explore major trends for the next decade, in the spheres of politics and security, society and demography, economy and technology, information and digital as well as energy and environment, that will shape the direction of policy discussions for the eap region. For gas, households took 43% of total consumption, followed by the. The average annual emission reduction has to double in the period 2030 2050 compared to 2010 2030. But a client asked me to paint a picture of what the big trends tell us about 2030.
Oxford economics global cities 2030 executive summary the global 750. Eu energy, transport and ghg emissions trends to 2050 the household and tertiary sectors. Renewables in electricity production world energy statistics. Transformation of europes power system until 2050 mckinsey. Contents executive summary 2 introduction 6 3 x 20. The european strategy and policy analysis system espas provides a framework for cooperation and consultation at administrative level, on a voluntary basis, between the european parliament, the council of the european union, the european commission and the european external action service, with the. Explore the latest strategic trends, research and analysis. Building a resilient europe to face future societal. Eu reference scenario 2016 energy, transport and ghg emissions. The global economy in 2030 trends and strategies for europe by daniel gros and cinzia alcidi december. European energy futures 2030 technology and social.
Global gdp will expand by 89% compared to 76% in the previous 17 years 199720. The national intelligence council nic, the forwardlooking think tank of the u. Asia africa latin america north america europe oceania median age. Energy report iv the trend of energy markets up to the year 2030 reference forecast for the energy sector summary commissioned by the german ministry of economics and labor, berlin institute of energy economics at the university of cologne. Eu energy trends to 2030 eu energy baseline 2009 and reference scenario introduction 9 1. Capros and others published eu reference scenario 2016 energy, transport and ghg emissions trends to 2030 find, read and cite all the research you need on. According to two new reports published by the european wind energy trade body windeurope, wind energy could provide up to 30% of europes electricity by 2030. We believe companies that want to be on top in 2030 must study emerging trends and begin preparing for them now. Energy market reform in europe european energy and climate policies.
Ind energ scenaris fr 2030 wind energy scenarios for 2030 member states developments to 2030 the 2015 european commission report on renewable energy progress to 2020 shows that although the eu is on track to meet its 2020 renewable energy targets, targets. We forecast energy demand to flatten, mainly due to increased efficiencies in the use of energy, after 2030. The prescribed eu energy and climate policy objectives for germany are taken into account in the. Progress of the european union towards its renewable. Future trends and market opportunities summary executive in. The background for wwf is that the world needs to transition from its current unsustainable energy paradigm to a future powered entirely by renewable energy sources. Designed as a multifaceted project, this book presents an integrated assessment covering a wide range of policy areas and alternative assumptions about trends in.
Future societal trends, ranging from the future of the labor market to the evolving relationship between citizens and the state, are shrouded in uncertainty, which makes it difficult to develop robust, sensible predictions. In fact, one econometric model predicts annual productivity growth rates of only 1% to 2% for the advanced countries through 2030. From 2021 onwards, european legislation will require that carmakers cut their current average c0 2 emissions per kilometre by 40% to achieve these targets, groupe psa needs to capitalise on the development of electric vehicles and plugin hybrids. Insights for policy making looks at the availability and cost of accessing energy and how it significantly affects economic growth and competitiveness in global markets. Published every year based on objective data and dispassionate analysis, the world energy outlook weo provides critical analysis and insights on trends in. The book itself is designed as a way to think about the future of energy. Today, the energy and ecological transition is a priority for public authorities as they become the new technology specifiers. With births outstripping deaths by two to one, the global population will grow by 17% between 2014 and 2030. Columbia sipa center on global energy policy the role of.
The developments underway in europes natural gas sector are some of the most influential and closely watched in the global gas market. Summaries of the us, eu, russia, and nato global trends 2030 reports. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. The commission also publishes a report on developments in energy prices over the last 12 months covering petroleum, crude oil, coal, carbon, electricity and gas. This document describes three scenarios of europes possible energy futures developed. There are too many variables involved in doing forecasts for 2030 or 2040. The average annual emission reduction has to double in the period 20302050 compared to 20102030. Wind energy could power 30% of europes needs by 2030. It will inform our own strategic choices over the years to come, and we hope it will also provide useful insight to our customers, partners and other stakeholders.
Future trends and market opportunities summary executive. Eu reference scenario 2016 energy, transport and ghg. In 2015, the use of res in the eu, as a proportion of gross final energy consumption, continued its steady growth, standing at 16. I dont usually play the futurist game im more of a presentist, looking at the data we have right now on fastmoving megatrends that shape the world today. The nic declines to attach probabilities to its various scenarios, but this is nonetheless a thoughtful exercise in futurology. If current economic and demographic trends hold, north america and europe will lose status and influence as developing countries in asia. In the past decade, europe has seen significant demand swings, falling domestic production, growing concerns about dependence on russian gas, and the advent of us liquefied natural gas exports to the world. In this article, we cite examples of both types of trends and some of their highlevel implications for the consumer sector. Megatrends that could change the world by 2030 business insider. The global economy in 2030 free summary by daniel gros and.
Others notably japan, spain and portugal are declining. There will be about 1 billion more of us, and we will live longer. The european commission s directorategeneral for energy and transport has released an update to its trends in 2030 series, which explores projections to 2030 associated with energy demand, transformation, imports, and production by fuel and sector. We would also be able to continue to provide renewable and low pollution energy. Every two years, also produces energy prices costs in europe. The european commission publishes quarterly reports on european gas and electricity markets. With a time horizon of 2030, this expert survey not only provides a useful perspective on longterm developments of energy technologies, but also evaluates these technologies against different sets of social values or visions. All energy could be renewable by 2030 digital trends.
Overall, the fastestgrowing age cohort is the older segment. In this ongoing debate on decarbonisation and renewable energy targets, wwf wants to be equipped for the discussion with its own realistic proposal. The book is divided into sections examining the integration of renewable energy, electricity, heating and cooling as well as biofuels. Wind energy in europe, scenarios for 2030 windeurope. For data and analysis dg energy relies on the market observatory for energy which maintains and. Challenges and choices for europe report is a contribution to support policy and decisionmakers as they navigate the world into 2030. The book summarizes the results of the first europewide delphi study on future developments in the energy sector.
The trend of energy markets up to the year 2030 reference forecast for the energy sector. Introduction this report is an update of the previous trend scenarios, such as the. The european energy transition 2030 is a political. Global trends 2030 reports us, eu, russia, and nato. Challenges for europe in the world, 2030 embodies critical thinking about the longterm implications for europe of the clear shift of power from the west to the east and the south. The eurendel scenarios europes energy system by 2030 izt. Seoul, for example, will double its current number of citizens older than 65, who in 2030 will. What are the economic and consumer trends that will shape the world throughout the next 17 years.
Global energy trends, 2019 edition based on its 2018 data for g20 countries, enerdata analyses the trends in the world energy markets. Reducing emissions and increasing the share of renewable energies will. Directorategeneral for energy in collaboration with climate action dg and mobility. Seoul, for example, will double its current number of citizens older than 65, who in 2030 will represent 21% of the population of south koreas capital. Energy market reform in europe european energy and climate. The global economy in 2030 is the result of a collaborative effort of. Of all possible future worlds is a book that asks, what will our world be like in the next fifteen to twenty years. China took the lead in 2017 with a market for trading the right to emit a tonne of co2, setting the world on a path towards a single carbon price and a powerful incentive to ditch fossil fuels, predicts jane burston, head of climate and environment at the uks national physical laboratory. Gas and electricity market reports the european commission publishes quarterly on gas markets. Europes energy transition insights for policy making. Against this backdrop, the espas global trends to 2030. A condensed version of the report is also available 1.
578 651 1316 549 1162 962 1505 107 1508 1573 1214 667 443 181 1117 722 1013 1189 627 32 1280 1530 617 1184 1349 238 399 376 856 1329 615 653 844 404 526 1313